BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 67 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  153.08

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Home    L   160.36  20  23   1A  30 (  7-  6) Boston College          6.73     -9.73                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   148.17  38  10   1B  73 (  6-  5) Eastern Illinois       -5.46 *   33.46                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   159.99  21  17   1A  74 (  4-  8) Nebraska                6.36     -2.36                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L   155.14  28  34   1A  54 ( 10-  3) San Diego St            1.51     -7.51                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 147.67  24   3   1A 125 (  2- 10) Kent St                -5.95     26.95                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 152.77  14  13   1A  83 (  6-  6) Buffalo                -0.86      1.86                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 172.79  48  17   1A 106 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          19.16     11.84                      
  8 10/26/2017 Home    W * 150.13  30  27   1A  82 (  5-  7) Eastern Michigan       -3.50      6.50                      
  9 11/02/2017 Away    L * 148.96  17  27   1A  60 ( 11-  3) Toledo                 -4.67     -5.33                      
 10 11/09/2017 Home    W * 165.08  63  17   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St                11.45 *   34.55                      
 11 11/15/2017 Home    W * 151.55  35  31   1A  80 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -2.08      6.08                      
 12 11/24/2017 Away    L * 142.71  24  31   1A  89 (  8-  5) Central Michigan      -10.91      3.91                      
 13 12/26/2017 Neutral L   141.84  14  36   1A  40 (  7-  6) Duke                  -11.79    -10.21                      
      Averages             153.63  28.9 22.0

Best game:  172.79 = 31 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 141.84 = 22 point loss to Duke
Team stdev:   8.89